https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/571703
標題: | A modest 0.5-m rise in sea level will double the tsunami hazard in Macau | 作者: | Li L Switzer A.D YU WANG Chan C.-H Qiu Q Weiss R. |
關鍵字: | Floods; Hazards; Monte Carlo methods; Tsunamis; Coastal cities; Coastal communities; Coastal hazards; Conservative amount; Sea level rise; South China sea; Tsunami hazards; Tsunami inundation; Sea level; article; flooding; incidence; Macao; sea level rise; simulation; South China Sea | 公開日期: | 2018 | 卷: | 4 | 期: | 8 | 來源出版物: | Science Advances | 摘要: | Rising sea levels will have overwhelmingly negative impacts on coastal communities globally. With previous research focused on how sea-level rise (SLR) affects storm-induced flooding, we show that SLR will also increase both the frequency and the intensity of tsunami-induced flooding, another significant coastal hazard associated with sea-level extremes. We developed probabilistic tsunami inundation maps for Macau, a densely populated coastal city located in the South China Sea, under current sea-level, 0.5-m SLR, and 1-m SLR conditions, using an extensive Monte Carlo tsunami inundation simulation. Our results indicate that conservative amounts of SLR of 0.5 m (by 2060) and 1 m (by 2100) would dramatically increase the frequency of tsunami-induced flooding incidences by a factor of 1.2 to 2.4 and 1.5 to 4.7, respectively. Copyright ? 2018 The Authors, |
URI: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85052218358&doi=10.1126%2fsciadv.aat1180&partnerID=40&md5=139514b896017ac0ae7fb37b7dfb2ae2 https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/571703 |
ISSN: | 23752548 | DOI: | 10.1126/sciadv.aat1180 |
顯示於: | 地質科學系 |
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