https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/597786
DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Hsu, Chen Yang | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | YA-MEI CHEN | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Su, Chiu Wen | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Ku, Mei Sheng | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Kim, Yeol | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Jensen, Tim | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Luh, Dih Ling | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 2022-03-21T05:51:07Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2022-03-21T05:51:07Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2021-06-01 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 09296646 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/597786 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Background: The COVID-19 outbreaks associated with mass religious gatherings which have the potential of invoking epidemics at large scale have been a great concern. This study aimed to evaluate the risk of outbreak in mass religious gathering and further to assess the preparedness of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for preventing COVID-19 outbreak in this context. Methods: The risk of COVID-19 outbreak in mass religious gathering was evaluated by using secondary COVID-19 cases and reproductive numbers. The preparedness of a series of NPIs for preventing COVID-19 outbreak in mass religious gathering was then assessed by using a density-dependent model. This approach was first illustrated by the Mazu Pilgrimage in Taiwan and validated by using the COVID-19 outbreak in the Shincheonji Church of Jesus (SCJ) religious gathering in South Korea. Results: Through the strict implementation of 80% NPIs in the Mazu Pilgrimage, the number of secondary cases can be substantially reduced from 1508 (95% CI: 900–2176) to 294 (95% CI: 169–420) with the reproductive number (R) significantly below one (0.54, 95% CI: 0.31–0.78), indicating an effective containment of outbreak. The expected number of secondary COVID-19 cases in the SCJ gathering was estimated as 232 (basic reproductive number (R0) = 6.02) and 579 (R0 = 2.50) for the first and second outbreak, respectively, with a total expected cases (833) close to the observed data on high infection of COVID-19 cases (887, R0 = 3.00). Conclusion: We provided the evidence on the preparedness of NPIs for preventing COVID-19 outbreak in the context of mass religious gathering by using a density-dependent model. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.publisher | ELSEVIER TAIWAN | en_US |
dc.relation.ispartof | Journal of the Formosan Medical Association | en_US |
dc.subject | COVID-19 | Mass gathering | Non-pharmaceutical intervention | Religious activity | en_US |
dc.subject | COVID-19; Mass gathering; Non-pharmaceutical intervention; Religious activity | - |
dc.subject.classification | [SDGs]SDG3 | - |
dc.subject.other | Article; controlled study; coronavirus disease 2019; disaster preparedness; epidemic; human; major clinical study; religious group; risk assessment; social distancing; South Korea; Taiwan; virus transmission; epidemic; epidemiology; COVID-19; Disease Outbreaks; Humans; Republic of Korea; SARS-CoV-2; Taiwan | - |
dc.title | Preparedness for containing COVID-19 outbreak in mass religious gathering with non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) | en_US |
dc.type | journal article | en |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.jfma.2021.04.017 | - |
dc.identifier.pmid | 34119393 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | 2-s2.0-85107690330 | - |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:000667684200007 | - |
dc.identifier.url | https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85107690330 | - |
dc.identifier.url | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85107690330&doi=10.1016%2fj.jfma.2021.04.017&partnerID=40&md5=cf6285bc1ace2331084b829e8d40f8f1 | - |
dc.relation.pages | S57 | en_US |
dc.relation.journalvolume | 120 | en_US |
dc.relation.pageend | S68 | en_US |
item.fulltext | no fulltext | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | - |
item.grantfulltext | none | - |
item.openairetype | journal article | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Health Policy and Management | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Public Health | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0003-0378-9441 | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | College of Public Health | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | College of Public Health | - |
顯示於: | 健康政策與管理研究所 |
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