https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/86204
標題: | 行政院國家科學委員會專題研究計畫成果報告:環境承載力、累積性衝擊評量及政策環評與總量管制之相關性研究─總計畫暨子計畫三:水資源面向環境承載力、累積性衝擊評量及政策環評與總量管制之相關性研究(I) | 作者: | 童慶斌 | 公開日期: | 2005 | 出版社: | 臺北市:國立臺灣大學生物環境系統工程學系暨研究所 | 摘要: | 永續發展之含意為在不導致生態環境退化下持續經濟社會發 展,利用總量管制的手段,確保各項發展所導致之累積性衝擊不超過 環境承載力。本研究依據此觀念建立水資源環境管理架構,以提供管 理者一個管理、審查與監測的機制,並分別探討建立水質與水量總量 管制分析方法與基準。研究中以單位面積負荷作為水質管理的依據, 並且也是政策環評與計畫環評相互承接的準則。並研擬落實單位面積 負荷於環評制度可能遭遇之困難與解決方案。 本群體計畫為三年度計畫,此為第一年計畫成果,主要是說明水 質與水量總量管制分析與基準之研擬,並以案例說明之。在水質方 面,則是依據頭前溪流域特性建立一假設流域,在多目標規劃下,評 估在不同目標函數的權重,其總量分配之結果。在水量評估方面,建 立水資源系統動力模式評估承載力與累積性衝擊,並選擇淡水河流域 為評估案例,推估其系統最大供水能力(承載力),並評估在不同氣 候變遷下,其對供水系統永續性之影響。以提供管理者因應在氣候變 遷下,對水資源分配與管制可提早進行規劃與提出預防措施。 Sustainable development means continuously supporting development without degrading ecosystems, which can use the total quantity control measure to insure that cumulative impacts from all projects will not exceed environmental carrying capacity. Based on the concept, this study proposes a framework of sustainable water resources management and discusses the principles of total quantity control for both water quantity and quality. This framework includes mechanism of management, investigation and examination of water environment. A manager can use the framework to analyze the total of water quality and quantity. The unit area pollutant load introduced in this study is the criterion of water quality management and can be applied to link SEA and EIA. The possible difficulties and solutions to apply the unit area pollutant load in practice are also addressed. This is a three year project, and this year is the first year. The analysis of water quantity and quality in the total quantity control method as well as their principles of management have been discussed in this year. The TouChen River was taken for an example to explain the total quantity control method. The results indicate the different weights for a multi-objective problem will affect the allocation of carrying capacity. In the aspect of water quantity, a system dynamics model for evaluating cumulative impacts and carrying capacity for a water supply system is built. The TanHsui River is taken as an example. The model is applied to evaluate maximum potential water supply as carrying capacity, and the climate change impacts are also evaluated. The study of climate change impacts provides decision makers to prepare response strategies in advance. |
URI: | http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw//handle/246246/10794 | 其他識別: | 932621Z002016 | Rights: | 國立臺灣大學生物環境系統工程學系暨研究所 |
顯示於: | 生物環境系統工程學系 |
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932621Z002016.pdf | 1.08 MB | Adobe PDF | 檢視/開啟 |
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