全球變遷與生態系統─歐洲地區地震預警之研究

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Project title/計畫英文名

Translated Name/計畫中文名

全球變遷與生態系統─歐洲地區地震預警之研究

Project Principal Investigator/計畫主持人

YIH-MIN WU

Funding Organization

European Parliament

Start date/計畫起

15-06-2006

Expected Completion/計畫迄

12-12-2008

摘要：由於非洲板塊與歐亞大陸板塊碰撞，南歐地中海地區都受災害性地震威脅，為了降低大地震對於南歐城市之影響，本研究計畫的目標就是要建立南歐城市之地震預警系統。地震預警系統為當地震發生後，在破壞性的地震波尚未來襲前之數秒至數十秒提出警告及進行即時減災措施稱之。其主要的目標為預測保護區之強震動大小。當地震發生之後，初期的地震波已經被觀測到，目前的地震學發展，已經掌握地下震波速度構造及波傳原理，因此，強震即時警報被認為是目前最實用之地震科學運用。本計畫的主要架構包括即時震源參數之估計、即時災害估計及減災策略、即時強震動分布圖估計、餘震預報及使用者介面之發展。這些發展以期建立完整之地震預警系統於南歐重要都市。
Abstract: Earthquakes are a serious threat for many countries of Europe, particularly for those around the Mediterranean Sea. Early warning systems, based on real time, automated analysis of ground motion measurements, can play an important role in reducing the negative impact of catastrophic events on densely populated areas and, particularly, in mitigating the damage to strategic structures and lifelines. Europe is covered by numerous high quality seismic networks, managed by national and by European agencies, including also some local networks specifically designed for seismic early warning around large cities like Bucharest, Istanbul and Naples, respectively.

This project is aimed at fully exploiting the possibilities offered by a real time analysis of the signals coming from seismic networks for a wide range of actions, performed in a time interval of a few seconds to some tens of minutes. These actions range from the shut down of critical systems of lifelines, industries, highways, railways, etc. and the activation of control systems for the protection of crucial structures, to decision support for rapid response of the emergency management (ground shaking maps, continuously expected damage scenarios, aftershocks hazard etc.).

The project is structured in 6 work-packages: (1) Project Coordination and Management, (2) Real-Time Estimation of Source Parameters, (3) Real-Time Damage Assessment and Reduction Strategies, (4) Real-Time Shake Maps, (5) Real-Time Aftershock Hazard Assessment, (6) Dissemination of Results and End User Interface. The work-packages address all major components of an earthquake early warning system.

Keyword(s)

南歐
地震預警系統
Early warning systems

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全球變遷與生態系統─歐洲地區地震預警之研究

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