Spatial Analysis of Ethnic and Presidential Election in Hsinchu County（2000-2012）
Date Issued
2015
Date
2015
Author(s)
HUNG, HUI-PING
Abstract
This study investigates the relationship between ethnic groups and presidential elections in Hsinchu County. Through spatial analysis, the results of 4 presidential elections (from year 2000 to 2012) are analyzed using “village” as an analysis unit. 182 villages are examined, with control factors consisting of socioeconomic background, subsidy policy, living environment and spatial variables to observe the relevance between ethnic groups and presidential election in Hsinchu County. This research found that the Hakka population does not show a consistent preference in supporting a specific political party. In principle, areas with a higher Hakka population are prone to be supportive of the Chinese National Party (KMT), with exceptions in Xinpu and Ermei Townships, where effective factors such as subsidy policy, living environment and proximity effect are in force. Moreover, villages with higher senior population or histories of protest movements show a greater support for the democratic progressive party (DPP). Furthermore, areas such as Wufeng and Jianshih Townships, consisting mainly of aboriginal population, are known to share a distinct preference in supporting of the KMT. In armored camp area in Hukou Township and older military communities with mainlander population are also in favor of supporting the KMT. However, sea-front villages with an economic disadvantage seem to be supportive of the DDP. Observing from aforementioned cases, it is clear that the presidential elections in the Hsinchu County are not only influenced by various ethnic population, but also factors like subsidy policy, living environment, proximity effect and so on and so forth.
Subjects
Hsinchu County
ethnic
Spatial Analysis
spatial autocorrelation
neighborhood effect
Type
thesis