Study of Crime Rate using Marco-Econometric Model in Taiwan
Date Issued
2014
Date
2014
Author(s)
Tsai, Chi-Tzou
Abstract
In this study we use the macro-econometric model to research the impact of crime rate for social economy.Initially,by reviewing relevant papers about crime rate and economy to constract criminal activity sector to explore the role of crime rate to macroeconomic environment in Taiwan.
The main purpose and contribution of the study is to find the optimal police expenditure by performing the scenario analysis about the impact of crime rate and police expenditure to economy. The study shows exist the negative relationship between crime rate and economic growth rate. The police expenditure increasing can lower the crime rate, but government will get the fund by increase taxes and borrow money on bond leading to negative impact on economy. So the study showing the optimal police expenditure increasing ten percent is the most efficient on pushing economic growth rate. This study provide a method to calculate the optimal government expenditure.
Subjects
總體計量模型
犯罪率
警政支出
情境分析
經濟成長
Type
thesis
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ntu-103-R00323034-1.pdf
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