Traffic Accident Analysis and Prediction—an Application of Zih-Ping
Date Issued
2009
Date
2009
Author(s)
Hsu, Yu-Fang
Abstract
Safety and efficiency are the main objectives in traffic science. Upon all related literatures, we discover the parameters which have been used in current researches are focus on the road user, vehicle and road. The Chinese traditional methods includes utilize Yin Yang, Five Elements, Eight Trigrams, Heavenly Stems, and Earthly Branches. Initially, people observed the natural phenomenon, and then transfer the theory concluded by the natural observation as a method to predict the fortune because Chinese believed that human and natural live together, and cannot live individually. Current research methods should be analyzed with many car accidents; therefore, traditional methods are more humanly compared with current researches methods. In this research, we try to carry out the traffic accident analysis and forecasts via utilizing the Zin-Ping Eight Words to prove the relation between the existing traffic accident data and the Eight Words structures of victims and conclude some Eight Words structures with higher probability to confront the traffic accidents by the exhaustive method and data mining. The result of this research, a analysis of nine Eight Words Structures with higher probability to confront the accidents, only one comparison result is higher than the population probability and the difference is only 0.125%. Base on reciting the relation with the Heavenly Stems and Earthly Branches by existing traffic accident data, the results indicate that the traffic accident probability will be 5% over population probability, even close to 8%, if occurs the specific relation between the Heavenly Stems and Earthly Branches. The specific relations are given as below. The relation between Birth month Heavenly Stream and decade Heavenly Stream are “Ke” and “wehe”. The relation between Incident time year Heavenly Stream and zodiac fate Earthly Branches is “sheng”. Moreover, the results of Heavenly Stream and Earthy Branch analysis also indicate that the accuracy of the judge rules are 80.0% and 76.6% respectively through decision tree algorithms.
Subjects
traffic safety
accident predicition
Zih-Ping, Eight words
decision tree
SDGs
Type
thesis
File(s)![Thumbnail Image]()
Loading...
Name
ntu-98-R95521513-1.pdf
Size
23.32 KB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum
(MD5):fef1f6615c77747664f00cfd1bc2d841