General-Equilibrium Pricing of Stock Index Futures Allowing for Regular and Irregular Events Underlying the Stochastic Market Volatility
Other Title
考慮隨機波動性中的正常與異常事件後、股價指數期貨的一般均衡定價模型
Journal
財務金融學刊
Journal Volume
22
Journal Issue
1
Start Page
1
End Page
32
ISSN
1022-2898
Date Issued
2014-03
Author(s)
Abstract
本文採用「資訊到達的時間間隔」（information time; Chang, Chang, Chang, and Lim（1998））以及「跳躍事件」（jump; Merton,（1976））的設定，區分標的資產價格波動性中，屬於正常或異常事件的部份，並推導出CIR（Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross（1985）；Hemler and Longstaff（1991））一般均衡架構下的股價指數期貨定價封閉解。根據比較靜態與模擬分析的結果，這種進一步的解析，有助於釐清文獻中對於經濟變數間關係的一些爭議。
Information-time (Chang, Chang, and Lim (1998)) and jump (Merton (1976)) settings are applied to highlight the stochastic-volatility effects on futures pricing resulting from regular and irregular events and derive a general-equilibrium formula in its closed form under the CIR framework (Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross (1985); Hemler and Longstaff (1991)). Partial differential and simulation results show that disputed relationships in literature among economic variables can be explained by further exploring different stochastic dimensions of the market volatility.
Subjects
隨機波動性
跳躍事件
資訊到達的時間間隔
跨期期貨定價
一般均衡模型
Stochastic volatility
jump
information time
intertemporal futures pricing
generalequilibrium model
Type
journal article