The detection of association between meteorological factors, air pollutants and two heart diseases
Date Issued
2012
Date
2012
Author(s)
Wang, Yen-Chun
Abstract
As the public health issues shift from malnutrition and emerging infectious diseases to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, more and more researchers have focused on the investigation of the causal and risk factors of such diseases. For instance, a considerable amount of literature has indicated that meteorological factors and air pollutants may contribute to the risk of diseases. Funded by the Taiwan Central Weather Bureau, this study aims to develop a predictive model for the risk of disease based on specific populations and meteorological factors. The diseases of interest include Ischemic Heart Disease (IHD with ICD-9 coding 410-414) and Cerebrovascular Disease (CVD with ICD-9 coding 430-438) occurred in Taiwan. Our study population was selected from the National Health Insurance Research Database with an admission record of IHD or CVD between 2000 and 2009 and aged between 50 and 70. Exposure factors included the meteorological hourly data provided by the Taiwan Central Weather Bureau, and the environmental parameters downloaded from the Taiwan EPA air quality monitoring website.For areas with missing covariates, the ordinary Kriging method was applied for imputation.
The results of this study provides a probabilistic measure for the risk of disease based on given meteorological and pollutant variables. In addition, such quantification can demonstrate the uncertainty in prediction, and offer risk information for the group of susceptible individuals for health management.
Subjects
meteorological factors
air pollutants
cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases
ordinary Kriging
SDGs
Type
thesis
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