A Study of “Ko Wen-Je Phenomenon”- Spatial Analysis of Taipei City Mayoral Election in 2014
Date Issued
2016
Date
2016
Author(s)
Su, Yu-Han
Abstract
As an independent candidate of Taipei City mayoral election in 2014, Ko Wen-Je defeated several rivals to win the election. The abnormal phenomenon called “Ko Wen-Je phenomenon” was worth noticing. The purpose of this study was to analyze the percentage of votes Ko Wen-Je obtained. This study assumed that the votes Ko won were from Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) traditional stronghold and he newly obtained. This study used spatial analysis and set 456 villages in Taipei City as analysis units, analyzing different aspects like population structure, socio-economic background, the relevant platform and spatial factors. Besides, through the traditional and spatial regression models, the election can be described more completely. The study found that Ko’s percentage of votes was deeply influenced by the DPP’s. Thus, it was essential to set it as a control variable. Furthermore, by using spatial regression analysis, this study proved that population structure, socio-economic background, and relevant platform all affected the percentage of votes. Moreover, the neighborhood effect also had an influence on the election result.
Subjects
Ko Wen-Je
Taipei City
election
spatial analysis
spatial autocorrelation
Type
thesis