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  4. A study of Typhoon Swell Forecasting in East Taiwan
 
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A study of Typhoon Swell Forecasting in East Taiwan

Date Issued
2009
Date
2009
Author(s)
Lin, Jiunn-Jye
URI
http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw//handle/246246/181254
Abstract
As typhoon waves propagate out of the storm, it is called the swell. Since the group velocity of swell is swifter than the typhoon itself so that it often arrives shore earlier. Without warning the swell may cause serious property damage and even loss of human lives. Liang(1989) had proposed the typhoon swell forecast model. However, the swell hindcast for typhoon Ewiniar in 2006 is much higher than measured data. Therefore, in this study the author analyzes wave data at Hualain Harbor and typhoon data provided by Central Weather Bureau obtaining an empirical equation for typhoon swell period, i.e.p=(0.041667×A+0.1321)×UR4s=(DD3×R4)/(TR4Br)^4 Where Tp is the peak period in second ,DD3 is the distance between typhoon center and the station in nautical mile, R4 is the radius of maxium winds in nautical mile estimated by Rodolfo''s method (2002), TR4Br、UR4s are the wave period at radius of maximum winds in second、sea-surface wind speed at radius of maxium winds in km.h-1 for stationary typhoon caculated by Bretschneider’s method (1976).he swell height empirical equaiton is:s=0.2331×(HR4Br)×[√(R4/DD3)]×λ Where Hs is the significant wave in meter, HR4Br is the wave height at radius of maxium winds in feet for stationary typhoon calculated by Bretschneider’s method (1976).λ is the coefficient of wave height modification by Doppler effect(Liang,2003). Applying to typhoon Xangsane、Bilis、Korsa、Sinlaku,the typhoon swell hindcasting is acceptable.
Subjects
Swell
Typhoon Radius of Maximum Wind
Distance to Station
Doppler Effect
Type
thesis
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