水庫供水機能檢討評估與改善對策─以石門水庫為例─水文不確定性影響水庫供水風險之評估
Date Issued
2005
Date
2005
Author(s)
DOI
932625Z002043
Abstract
The objective of this project is to establish the relationship between uncertainty in
hydrology and the risk of Shihmen reservoir water supply system. Firstly, we
examine the influence of different uncertainty factors using multivariate data analysis
methods. Secondly, first order analysis of uncertainty is used to determine the
uncertainty in silt yield. Thirdly, the risk of the reservoir water supply system is
evaluated by Monte Carlo simulation method. Finally, the corresponding discussions
are presented and the conclusions are drawn. The results can serve as references for
evaluating the risk of Shihmen reservoir water supply system.
Subjects
Shihmen reservoir
uncertainty in hydrology
uncertainty analysis
risk analysis
Publisher
臺北市：國立臺灣大學土木工程學系暨研究所
Type
report
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