A study on motorcycle users' mode transfer preference to electric bicycles
Date Issued
2004
Date
2004
Author(s)
Jen, Li-En
DOI
zh-TW
Abstract
Electric bicycles have been developed recently in Taiwan to help mitigate air pollution problems. In Taiwan’s metropolitan areas, air pollution from mobile sources is serious. Electric bicycles have the potential to be the substitute for motorcycles because of their good price and performance. This study employed discrete choice theory and stated preference (SP) survey method to learn about Taipei’s motorcycle users’ mode transfer preference to electric bicycles.
A comprehensive questionnaire survey was undertaken to find out major factors of mode transfer from motorcycles to electric bicycles. They are price, range per recharge, convenience of recharge and maintenance, recharge time, speed, operating and maintenance cost, climbing ability, and so on. It implies that price and performance characteristics of electric bicycles are the most important factors.
Stated preference data is used to calibrate binary logit model. Price divided by speed was employed for a better model. The optimal model employed a dummy variable “student or not”. The probability of switching to electric bicycles by motorcycle users is 18.87% in current condition. It will reach 44.01% if electric bicycle manufacturers’ technical improvements reach their best possible solution. The mode transfer probability will reach 61.97% if performance characteristics and riding environment of electric bicycles reach ideal conditions. Sensitivity analysis found that improving performance characteristics is more effective than providing exclusive lanes to encourage the using electric bicycles. Electric bicycles should be used for short distance trips or as short feeder mode. Electric motorcycles need to be promoted continually to better solve air pollution problems in metropolitan areas.
Subjects
敘述性偏好
個體選擇理論
電動腳踏車
stated preference
discrete choice theory
electric bicycle
SDGs
Type
thesis
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ntu-93-R91521501-1.pdf
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