Predicting and controlling ecological communities via trait and environment mediated parameterizations of dynamical models
Journal
Oikos
Journal Volume
Online Version of Record before inclusion in an issue
Journal Volume
2023
Journal Issue
6
Pages
e09415
ISSN
0030-1299
Date Issued
2023-06
Author(s)
Blonder, Benjamin Wong
Gaüzère, Pierre
Iversen, Lars L.
Petry, William K.
Ray, Courtenay A.
Salguero-Gómez, Roberto
Sharpless, William
Violle, Cyrille
Abstract
Predicting or controlling the state of an ecological community is a core global change challenge. Dynamical models provide one toolkit, but parameterizing these models can be challenging, and interpretation can be difficult. We here propose rewriting dynamical model parameters in terms of more interpretable and measurable functional traits and environmental variables (trait and environment mediated parameterizations; TEMPs). For prediction, this approach could help make interpretable forecasts of equilibrium community dynamics (species coexistence), invasibility surfaces (dynamics due to biotic context), and responses to environmental change (dynamics due to abiotic context). For control, this approach could help identify policies that yield desired species and trait compositions through perturbations of the abundance of species with certain traits, or of the environment.
Subjects
community dynamics
dynamical model
forecast
functional trait
optimal control
prediction
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons Inc
Type
journal article