From food insecurity to national insecurity: food production and civil conflict
Date Issued
2011
Date
2011
Author(s)
Cheng, Che-Yuan
Abstract
We offer empirical evidence that food production per capita has contributed to civil conflict over 1981 to 2007 in 43 Sub-Saharan Africa countries. We use rain fall as instrument variable for addressing endogeneity. The food production is negatively related to civil conflict: One unit decrease in the food production index aggravates the
risk of armed conflict by 1%. The negative significant relationship is hold in OLS,probit and 2SLS regression model, this result is still robust after adding race, language, religion diversity and other variables. We find that low food production level only significant to small scale conflict, insignificant to large scale, over 1000 related deaths civil war. Additionally, there is downward an asymmetric effect between food andconflict.
Subjects
Instrument Variable
Endogeneity
Omitted Variable
Civil War
Civil Conflict
Food Security
Sub-Saharan Africa
Type
thesis
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