Localized end-of-outbreak determination for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): examples from clusters in Japan
Journal
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
Date Issued
2021-03-01
Author(s)
Abstract
End-of-outbreak declarations are an important component of outbreak response as they indicate that public health and social interventions may be relaxed or lapsed. The present study aimed to assess end-of-outbreak probabilities for clusters of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases detected during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan.
Subjects
Elimination; Epidemic; Epidemiology; Extinction; Mathematical model; Transmission dynamics
elimination; epidemic; epidemiology; extinction; mathematical model; transmission dynamics
SDGs
Other Subjects
adolescent; adult; aged; Article; cancer center; child; clinical evaluation; clinical observation; community; community transmission; contact examination; coronavirus disease 2019; disease elimination; effective reproduction number; end of outbreak; epidemic; epidemiological data; female; fitness gym; human; infant; Japan; major clinical study; male; mathematical model; newborn; pandemic; probability; senior center; social behavior; social environment; statistical model; time; uncertainty; university; basic reproduction number; epidemiology; probability; public health; statistical model; Basic Reproduction Number; COVID-19; Disease Hotspot; Humans; Japan; Models, Statistical; Probability; Public Health; SARS-CoV-2
Type
journal article