The Modernization Paradigm and Mainland China's Democratic Development: The Fourth Path
Resource
政治科學論叢, 33, 151-192
Journal
政治科學論叢
Journal Issue
33
Pages
151-192
Date Issued
2007-09
Date
2007-09
Author(s)
Yang, Y.C.
Abstract
This article starts its discussion from three theories that anticipate the future of China's democratic development; namely the "modernization paradigm", "regime stability theory", and the "reconciliation theory". These three theories all offer certain explanations, but neglect the possibility of anticipatory deviation due to the continuation of China's institution. Therefore, this article attempts to bring up a fourth kind of anticipation, and to analyze the emerging rank and government that benefits from economic reforms. It is discovered that during the process of economic reforms, the Chinese government led an unprecedented "forming new rank" movement. And thus albeit unintentionally, the constitution of the new rank was "chosen". Following on, by investigating the ruling of the Chinese government during the transitional period, this article finds that this environment brings the new capitalist class rising from the openness of the market into the track of "relationship", thereby generating a close cooperation between this new rank and the authorities, and even going so far as to make the former a part of the regime. Consequently, this article believes that in facing this emerging class, we may have to hold a more pessimistic view on the future of China's democratic prospects.
Subjects
民主化；中?階級；現代化理論；政權穩定論；關係；Democratization；Middle Class；Modernization Paradigm；Regime Stability Theory；Guan-xi
Type
journal article
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