The analytical approach to the variation of fire risk in mixed-use area in a perspective of system dynamics
Date Issued
2007
Date
2007
Author(s)
Crimson, Edward K.
DOI
zh-TW
Abstract
To the impact which mixed-use to the fire risk, this issue considers a perspective of system dynamics that emphasis the intern structure of a system and the casual-effect
relationships between variables as an analytical approach.
In practice, it refers to modal-construction process of system dynamics mainly. Only commercial and residential use were blend in landuse that in the discussion. In the phase of
intern variables identifying, important components were searched from fire science literatures. Fatal vulnerable factors were collected from case studies or reports the other way. The casual-effect loops were sketched; and translated to numerous equations. The research region is chosen the blocks had significant mix-use effect in Tamsui Town, Taipei County. The modal was repeated improving by referencing mainly the casualty and number of fire cases during 2000 to 2006. In conclusion, the modal not generally displays expectational outcomes that two strategies increasing the rate of the installation of spray system and fire insurance but also
shows the impact given by strategies. With difference between simulated outcomes and real statistics, it has the ability of suggesting critical variables ignored at first.
Subjects
土地使用
混合使用
火災風險
系統動力學
landuse
mixed-use
fire risk
system dynamics
Type
thesis
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