https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/169363
標題: | 捷運系統可靠度評估方法之研究-以台北捷運高運量電聯車系統為例 A Study of estimating M.R.T. System Reliability - The case of Taipei M.R.T Electric Multiple Units |
作者: | 邱榮昌 Chiu, Jung-Chang |
關鍵字: | 或然率分析法;可靠度;平均故障間隔時間;Reliability;Probability;MTBF | 公開日期: | 2004 | 摘要: | 可靠度理論(Reliability Theory)是依據或然率理論發展出來的重要系統分析理論之一,該理論廣泛地應用在營建工程管理、電子及機械設計、土木結構、交通運輸規劃等領域,最大的特色在於探討系統的不確定性,以協助人員進行決策分析。捷運系統經緯萬端,除了相關規範與法規準則之外,本文特別說明了「可靠度」的觀念來加強捷運系統整個生命週期不同階段的安全性與最佳化。本文蒐集整理台北捷運系統「可靠度作業」相關資料,探討可靠度理論於捷運系統的應用情形,進一步分析民國92年捷運電聯車的營運可靠度,並將規範值與承商值相互比較(三者對可靠度定義及計算基礎有所差異),最後利用UNIPASS軟體進行或然率分析解算,以提出分析的結論與建議。此外,本文提出捷運系統可靠度評估架構,分析與試算台北捷運高運量電聯車十一項次系統的相關資料,得出台北捷運電聯車的營運可靠度,亦發現通訊號誌次系統可靠度較低之現象,並依據分析資料提出建議,以作為相關單位下次採購相關系統設備時之參考。 Reliability Theory, which is developed from the probability theory, is one of the important system analysis theories. It is generally applied to construction management, electrical and mechanical design, civil engineering management, traffic and transportation. Helping people probe into the uncertainty and make decisions is the most important character of Reliability Theory.Since M.R.T. is a complex system. In addition to relate specifications, laws and regulations, the reliability concept is particularly useful to enhance the safety and the optimum state in different stages of life cycle.This research collects reliability work data of Taipei M.R.T. to discuss how reliability theory is applied to M.R.T. system. Furthermore, it analyzes the train operation reliability in 2003 and compares the operation data with standard values, then UNIPASS is used to calculate and analyze the probability. Finally, conclusions and suggestions will be provide. This study provides M.R.T. reliability estimating structure, and analyzes and calculates the operation reliability of Taipei M.R.T. and 11 subsystems. Also the communication and signal subsystem is found weaker in the reliability. The Analysis results can make some suggestions in reference to relater purchase projects. |
URI: | http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw//handle/246246/50543 | 其他識別: | zh-TW |
顯示於: | 土木工程學系 |
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ntu-93-R91521524-1.pdf | 23.31 kB | Adobe PDF | 檢視/開啟 |
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