王如意2006-07-252018-06-292006-07-252018-06-292003http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw//handle/246246/10757本研究首先蒐集基隆河流域內雨量站及水文 站歷年來之降雨及水文資料,查勘河系沿岸之地形 地貌及支流分布,建立合適之氣象、水文、地文及 土地利用、人口政經資料檔,從事降雨頻率分析, 建立降雨強度-延時-頻率關係及合適雨型設 計,並應用克利金法,評估站網設置。再利用地理 資訊系統,將基隆河沿岸集水區劃分適宜個數之核 胞,應用半空間分布並聯型水庫概念模式推求沿岸 河段之逕流量。研究中亦採用瞬時單位歷線法探討 水文參數與土地利用改變之關係,研析都市化演變 對水文之效應。最後考慮不同防洪治理方案,評估 及修正沿岸重要測站之設計流量,以提供基隆河防 洪示範區水文規劃設計之應用。To begin with the research procedure, rainfall, flood records and the related data are proposed to collect, analyze and store in the appropriate data bank. Several field surveys to the project sites are expected to accomplish to understand the present status of watersheds along the banks of Keelung River. Frequency analyses of rainfall in Keelung River Basin are scheduled to finish, rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves are drawn, and the adequate rainfall pattern can be formed. The adequacy of rainfall network is also investigated by Kriging approach. Furthermore, ARC/INFO analyses of Geographical Information System are applied for analysis the geomorphologic characteristics of river network and watershed topography of Keelung River Basin. Suitable cell structures of every tributary can thus be organized. Semi-spatial distributed with parallel typed reservoirs conceptual model is theoretically derived, model parameters are reasonably optimized, and the resulting flood hydrographs can be simulated for different design conditions. Moreover, the hydrological effects due to urban development along the project areas are analyzed as the functional relationship between the physical parameters and the land-use variation by applying the concept of instantaneous unit hydrograph. Finally, by considering different layout conditions of flood-mitigation plans, the design discharge for the important locations along Keelung River can be modified for the hydrological planning of the pilot area.application/pdf205778 bytesapplication/pdfzh-TW國立臺灣大學生物環境系統工程學系暨研究所降雨分析逕流模擬站網設計都市化演變境況模擬決策支援系統水文規劃Rainfall analysisRunoff simulationNetwork designUrban developmentScenario simulationDecision support systemHydrological planning行政院國家科學委員會專題研究計畫成果報告:防洪示範區淹水境況模擬與決策支援系統之研究─總計畫暨子計畫:基隆河流域水文環境評估及沿岸逕流量推測之研究(Ⅲ)reporthttp://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw/bitstream/246246/10757/1/912625Z002009.pdf