蘇明道2006-07-252018-06-292006-07-252018-06-2920052005-07-31http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw//handle/246246/10799近年來台灣之天然災害相當頻繁，加上工商經濟發達及生活水準提昇，災害 發生時常造成非常嚴重之生命與財產損失，因此使風險管理成為一項重要議題。 災害之損害評估與風險分析是風險管理的重要基礎，因為淹水並不一定會致災， 必須涉及社會經濟活動才有災損，因此需針對洪災進行暴露量分析，評估損失最 後並作相關之財務因應規劃。本研究計畫擬針對不同土地利用建立淹水損失推估 曲線，配合社會經濟普查資料，建立區域性洪災損失評估模式，並經由系統模擬 的方式建立區域洪災損失之超越機率曲線，以取代一般以事件為基礎之災損超越 機率曲線，提供後續風險管理應用參考。Taiwan encounters many natural disasters such as earthquakes, typhoon, and flood, etc. every year because her geographic location and fragile geological condition. These hazards usually cause major loss of assets and casualties from the high density of population and intensive land usage. Risk management for natural hazard becomes a serious issue. The loss assessment and risk analysis is the basis for sound risk management. The objectives of this project are to establish a model for regional flood damage assessment. Different stage-damage curves were used for different land uses for vulnerability analysis. The census data was used for exposure analysis to estimate the socio-economic activities that were affected by the flood. System simulation was used to construct the exceedance probability cure for flood loss for use in regional risk management decisions.application/pdf2651788 bytesapplication/pdfzh-TW國立臺灣大學生物環境系統工程學系暨研究所洪水災害災害損失評估風險損失超越機率Flood DamageDamage AssessmentRiskDamage Exceedance Probability[SDGs]SDG15reporthttp://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw/bitstream/246246/10799/1/932625Z002035.pdf