徐世勳臺灣大學：農業經濟學研究所張國益Chang, Kuo-IKuo-IChang2007-11-282018-06-292007-11-282018-06-292004http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw//handle/246246/58986The purpose of this paper is to provide an economy-wide assessment of the potential impacts of FTA between Japan and Taiwan. Though inter-industry trade still accounts for the majority, its share in overall trade is declining. Instead, intra-industry trade (IIT), which can be further divided into horizontal IIT (HIIT) and vertical IIT (VIIT), is growing in importance. The popular GTAP-based CGE analysis which adopts the Armington assumption does not properly capture the impact of intra-industry trade. The Armington assumption is a simple setting of horizontal, symmetric product differentiation across product origins. The heavy dependence on this assumption makes simulation models difficult to describe vertical differentiation and the intra-industry division along the value chain. The CGE simulation result of tariff removal in the scheme of FTA tells us that almost all members of FTA obtain benefits in changes of EV. And larger positive impacts on EV are observed for larger members of FTA. Japan and Taiwan still have opportunities for developing closer relationship through bilateral capital interaction and much larger stimulus in developing more sophisticated production/distribution networks toward the scheme of FTA. The Japanese experience of intra-industry trade with Taiwan shows that policy measures which expand intra-industry trade are not limited to trade policy but also should include investment policies and various modes of liberalization, facilitation, and harmonization of economic institutions in order to accelerate integration process.Table of Contents........................................II List of Tables..........................................III 1. Introduction...........................................1 2. Conceptual framework for the intra-industry trade......2 2.1 Empirical decomposition of intra-industry trade....2 2.2 Connection with theoretical framework..............3 2.3 Relevance to East Asian intra-industry trade.......5 3. Developments of trilateral trade among Japan, China and Taiwan.............................................7 4. Measurement of intra-industry trade...................10 4.1 The threshold decomposition method................10 4.2 Comparison of changing trade patterns among Japan, Taiwan and China..................................12 5. Analysis of CGE model simulations.....................16 5.1 The framework of CGE Model........................16 5.2 The simulation scenarios..........................16 5.3 Simulation results................................17 6. Intra-industry trade and FTA: policy implication......19 6.1 Input-Output linkages.............................19 6.2 Factor movements (FDI) and fragmentation..........20 6.3 Adjustment costs and political economy of protection........................................21 6.4 The future policy implications of intra-industry trade for Japan and Taiwan........................23 7. Conclusions...........................................24 Reference................................................25 Tables...................................................31en-US垂直產業內貿易自由貿易協定產品差異化水平產業內貿易Horizontal intra-inVertical intra-industry trade[SDGs]SDG10thesis