2022-11-012024-05-15https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/664416土地與氣候變遷衝擊全球及區域生態系服務，進而影響水-能源-糧食之鏈結(Water-Energy-Food Nexus)。本計畫考量全球及區域尺度，第一年整合本研究開發之土地利用變遷模型(Three-Time Point Land Use/Cover Change Model, TIPOSE)、可計算一般均衡模型模擬區域之發展，以及氣候、土地、能源與水系統模型(The Climate, Land, Energy and Water systems, CLEWs)，建立全球嵌入式之水-能源-糧食模式TIPOSE-CLEWs，經由設定共享社會經濟路徑-代表濃度路徑(SSPRCPs)情境下，以桃園市為全球嵌入式之水-能源-糧食模式驗證區；第二年以台中和高雄為案例進行模式驗證、應用與優化，藉由國際通用生態系服務分級(The Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services)評估WEF Nexus對應之生態系服務指標，找出最佳權衡模式；第三年結合國土功能分區與上述之情境，以分析網路程序法(Analytic Network Process)納入利害關係人，回饋與修正策略，擬定區域之衝擊因應策略。 Land use and climate changes strongly influence global and regional ecosystem services and hence water-energy-food (W-E-F) nexus. Our proposed a three years project is to establish a global-embedded TIPOSE-CLEWs which consists with Computable General Equilibrium model, Three-Time Point Land Use/Cover Change Model (TIPOSE), and The Climate, Land, Energy and Water systems, CLEWs). Various climate SSP-RCP scenarios and strategies are set up. The trade-offs and optimization approaches are developed and utilized for strategies in the trade-off of the W-E-F nexus. The Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services is used to developed ecosystem service indicators for the W-E-F nexus in evaluations of the strategies. The stakeholder engagement is performed in assessments and feedback for the strategies by using Analytic Network Process. The model and approaches are validated and optimized in Taoyuan, and utilized in Taichung, and Kaohsiung cities.全球變遷;全球土地與氣候變遷;水-糧食-能源鏈結;生態系服務;競合;優化;Global change; global land and climate change; water-food-energy nexus; ecosystem services; trade-off; optimization