童慶斌2006-07-252018-06-292006-07-252018-06-2920032003-07-31http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw//handle/246246/10754為確保環境永續性則必須將環境因素納入各層次之決策中，且應以永 續發展為最高決策目標。要達到可持續發展則需限制發展不可超過環境承 載力；並透過總量管制方法，以合理分配與使用環境承載力；在衝擊之影 響方面則必須考量空間之累積與時間上包括過去、現在、及未來開發計畫 之累積影響。環境承載力與累積性影響評估為確保環境永續性之重要分析 項目，除確保累積量不超過環境承載力，在分析過程中也必須維護世代公 平性。 研究中首先將過去幾年對於永續發展定義與評估方式以及政策環評 等相關研究成果，加以整理彙整，說明政策環評之評定流程與建立累積性 衝擊之評估技術方法、架構及原則，可提供其他子計畫下一年度發展分析 技術所需。本研究將土壤、水資源、水質以及景觀生態等面向， 於過去 幾年的成果所提出的永續發展指標，後續將朝應用系統動力模式將各面向 之因子加以整合發展，並進一步探討其各個面向其累積性衝擊與承載力之 關係。研究中並針對目前的政策環評分析矩陣架構進行檢討與建議使定性 之政策環評可與永續發展之觀念結合，並作為是否進一步進行量化分析之 判斷準則。研究中亦提出其他相關水質模式，可應用於後續評估河川與湖 泊之環境承載力與累積性衝擊。 本計畫為三年期計畫， 本年度為計畫期程之第二年， 主要研究工作在 於整合過去兩年來之成果， 與各面向之永續發展評估指標， 將於明年度計 畫中以一流域為例， 並依據本報告之評估架構與指標系統進行案例分析。Environmental influence should be integrated into different levels of decision process to conserve sustainability. In order to continuously support develop, development should not exceed environmental carrying capacity, which can be done by the measure of total mass control and reasonably allocation of carrying capacity. Besides, both temporal and spatial cumulative impacts should be considered. Evaluations of environmental carrying capacity and cumulative impact assessment are two key issues for sustainability assessment. Several tasks have been done in this study. First, the definitions of sustainable development, evaluation methods, and study results related to strategic environmental assessment are summarized. Secondly, methodologies and procedures of strategic environmental assessment and cumulative impact assessment are also addressed, respectively. Thirdly, this study also integrates indicators of soil, water resources, water quality, and landscape ecology developed by other subproject in the same research group. The following study will focus on integrating these indicators in a systems dynamic model and relating to carrying capacity and cumulative impacts. Fourthly, the modification of the evaluation matrix of SEA to consider sustainability is discussed, and an example of water quality and quantity is given. The study period of this project is three year, and this is the second year report. In the second year, we summarize related research and design a framework to integrate results from the subprojects of the research group. In the third year, a watershed will be selected as study site, and it will be assessed based on the evaluation framework and indicator system designed in this report.application/pdf262660 bytesapplication/pdfzh-TW國立臺灣大學生物環境系統工程學系暨研究所reporthttp://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw/bitstream/246246/10754/1/912621Z002012.pdf