陳思寬臺灣大學:國際企業學研究所李權洲Lee, Chuan-ChouChuan-ChouLee2010-05-112018-06-292010-05-112018-06-292008U0001-2507200815360200http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw//handle/246246/182647歐盟自2004擴大以來，新增了中歐與東歐的國家，近年來這些國家也不斷的調整其國內的經濟情況以符合馬垂斯克條約的標準(Maastricht Criteria)，因而改變了國內的各項經濟指標，以更符合加入貨幣區間的要素，降低遭受非系統性衝的機會，並可增加吸收衝擊的能力。本文引用最適貨幣區間理論的景氣循環與經濟開放程度等四項經濟屬性檢測其是否具備加入最適貨幣區間的條件，同時也檢測這些國家中馬斯垂克趨合要件的各項變數，以比較兩者間的差異。 本文結論認為雖然大部分新加入國家在趨合要件上有達到標準，但除斯洛維尼亞外，各國的收入水平仍遠低於歐元區的水平; 而除賽普勒斯與馬爾他外，各國銀行資產佔GDP的比例都較低於歐元區的國家，凸顯出雖然舊有共產國家以完全轉換成市場經濟，但其經濟的基礎結構似乎仍須一些時間來調整。另雖新加入各國與歐元區的景氣循環不低，產業結構差異也在一定的範圍內，但比其既有歐盟區的大部分國家，仍有一段需要努力的空間。After the EU enlargement in 2004, the new acceding countries from central and east Europe had been continuously adjusting their domestic economic situation to fulfill the Maastricht Criteria and satisfy the factors for joining the optimal currency area, so that they can lower the opportunities of suffering the asymmetry shock and increase the ability to absorb shocks. Four economic factors such as openness and the correlation of business cycle are examined in this paper to understand if the new acceding countries are adapted to join this currency area. Meanwhile, in order to compare the difference of OCA theory and Maastricht Criteria, the variables of Maastricht Criteria will also be examined.he conclusion of this paper shows that, though most new acceding countries fulfill the requirements of Maastricht Criteria, except to Slovenia, the income level of countries are still far behind the average of euro area. Except to Malta and Cyprus, the ratio of banking assets to GDP of new acceding countries are also lower than the euro countries. That shows though those old community countries were transformed their economics system to market economics, it still takes time to adjust the foundation of economics structures. The other results shows that the new acceding countries have high business cycle synchronization with the euro area and the differences of the industry structure are not obvious, but it still need more effort to catch up the level of most euro area countries.目錄一章 緒論 1一節 研究動機及目的 1二節 研究架構說明 2二章 歐元的誕生與擴大 3一節 歐洲經濟整合的開始-歐洲共同體 3二節 歐洲貨幣整合的開端-韋納報告 4三節 歐洲貨幣制度 5四節 狄羅報告 6五節 馬斯垂克條約-採用歐元三階段 8 第六節 馬斯垂克趨合要件 11三章 文獻探討 10一節 最適貨幣區間理論回顧 10二節 單一貨幣的經濟利益與成本 14四章 研究方法 16一節 理論基礎 16二節 研究方法 16三節 研究範圍、研究期間及資料來源 17五章 歐元採用的適當性分析 21一節 經濟屬性檢測 21二節 名目趨合要件比較 34六章 結論與建議 40一節 研究發現 40二節 後續研究方向 41考文獻 42圖目錄5-1 GDP per capita in Purchasing Power Standards (PPS) (EU-27 = 100) 225-2 2002 Gross value added distribution by three sectors 235-3 2006 Gross value added distribution by three sectors 245-4 經濟開放程度 265-5 Acceding countries trade with the EU: (Share of imports from EU in total imports (%)) 275-6 Acceding countries trade with the EU: (Share of exports from EU in total exports (%)) 285-7 1997-2007去趨勢後GDP數列與既有歐元區國家的相關係數 295-8 Deposit Interest Rate(Percentage), 2003-2006 315-9 Lending Interest Rates (Percentage), 2003-2006 315-10 Spreads between Deposit and Lending Rate(Percentage), 2003-2006 325-11 各國銀行資產佔GDP的百分比 335-12 通貨膨脹率（Harmonized Consumer Price Index,HCPI） 345-13 預算赤字佔GDP比例 355-14 政府債務餘額佔GDP的百分比 365-15 長期利率 375-1 各項趨合要件整理 38application/pdf947696 bytesapplication/pdfen-US歐洲經濟暨貨幣同盟歐盟擴大最適貨幣區間理論European Monetary and Economics UnionEU enlargementOptimal Currency Areathesishttp://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw/bitstream/246246/182647/1/ntu-97-R93724041-1.pdf