2020-08-012024-05-13https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/654137摘要：本計畫的目標是對台灣減少交通能耗與排放的政策選擇進行評估與比較，並在項目進行中透過一個持續的互動過程，為政策決定者與運輸部門相關利益者（包括公家和私人實體）提供一系列基於事實且數據分析驅使的指南。藉由電腦輔助建模，我們可以更加了解台灣的未來道路運輸系統，並加速其向永續交通發展的轉型。交通新能源政策的評估與比較將會在四項子研究任務中完成：1)建立台灣的車輛模型，以在宏觀的層面上，模擬道路車輛的動態(包含保有量、車年齡組成等)及其對環境的影響(包含能源需求和生命週期排放)；2)為台灣制定一個以運輸部門細節為重點的排放清單，並根據未來可能之情景做溫室氣體以及空氣汙染排放量之預測；3)結合最先進的大氣化學傳輸模型來確定情景的區域空氣質量改變；以及4)量化各種政策設計對道路運輸排放、氣候變遷、人類健康、經濟社會的影響。<br> Abstract: The aims of this project are to evaluate and compare a set of policy options for reducing motor vehicle energy use and emissions in Taiwan, and to provide a fact-based and analytics-driven guide for policymakers and relevant stakeholders (including public and private entities) in the transportation sector. Computer-aided modeling tools allow us to better understand the future road transportation system and accelerate the transition to sustainable mobility in Taiwan. The policy impact comparison will be accomplished in four research tasks: 1) to construct a Taiwan road vehicle fleet model to simulate the dynamics of the rolling vehicle stock and their environmental impacts (such as energy demand and life-cycle emissions) at a macroscopic level, 2) to develop an emissions inventory for Taiwan focused on the transportation sector detail and project future emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants under policy scenarios, 3) to analyze regional air quality impacts using a state-of-the-art regional chemical transport model, and 4) to quantify the impact of various policy designs on road transportation emissions, climate change, human health, and the economy.台灣車輛模型能源轉型政策情景空氣汙染與健康全生命週期排放成本效益分析Taiwan Vehicle Fleet ModelEnergy TransitionPolicy ScenariosAir Quality and HealthLife-Cycle EmissionsCost-Benefit Analysis