吳聰敏TSONG-MIN WU2018-09-102018-09-102001http://doi.org/10.6277/ter.2001.293.4http://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/293328In the estimation of Taiwan's real GDP during 1910-1950, Wu (l991) used a deflator series constructed from some wholesale price indices. This methodology is inconsistent with the recommendation given in the A System of National Accounts (1993). In this paper, we follow the recommended procedure and reestimate Taiwan agricultural production during 1902-52. The new results are significantly different from the original estimates especially in the 1930s and 1940s. From the mid-1930s to mid-1940s, Taiwan was under economic regulation, in 1945-1950, it suffered a hyperinflation. This paper investigates how economic regulation and hyperinflation will affect estimation of real production value.吳聰敏(1991)估算出台灣1910-50年的國內生產毛額。在計算實質國內生產毛額時，他先由躉售物價指數估算出一套平減指數，再以之計算實質生產額。此一作法與SNA(1993)所建議者不同，因此實質國內生產毛額之估算值可能有偏誤。為修正國內生產毛額之估算，本研究重新計算1902-52年台灣農畜業之生產額；本文的估算結果與舊有的數字有不小的差異，特別是在1930-40年代。台灣在日治末期經歷經濟管制，戰後初期則發生惡性物價膨脹；有關於這兩段期間實質生產額之估算問題，本文特別加以討論。1714904 bytesapplication/pdf國內生產毛額物價膨脹經濟管制Gross Domestic Productinflationeconomic regulation[SDGs]SDG2journal article10.6277/ter.2001.293.4