https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/553000
Title: | Indicative and counterfactual conditionals: a causal-modeling semantics | Authors: | DUEN-MIN DENG Lee, Kok Yong |
Keywords: | Causal models | Conditionals | Counterfactual conditionals | Extrapolation | Indicative conditionals | Intervention | Semantics | Issue Date: | Dec-2021 | Journal Volume: | 199 | Journal Issue: | 1-2 | Start page/Pages: | 3993 - 4014 | Source: | Synthese | Abstract: | © 2021, Springer Nature B.V. We construct a causal-modeling semantics for both indicative and counterfactual conditionals. As regards counterfactuals, we adopt the orthodox view that a counterfactual conditional is true in a causal model M just in case its consequent is true in the submodel M∗, generated by intervening in M, in which its antecedent is true. We supplement the orthodox semantics by introducing a new manipulation called extrapolation. We argue that an indicative conditional is true in a causal model M just in case its consequent is true in certain submodels M∗, generated by extrapolating M, in which its antecedent is true. We show that the proposed semantics can account for some important minimal pairs nicely and naturally. We also prove a theorem showing under what conditions intervention and extrapolation will yield the same result, and thus explain how counterfactual and indicative conditionals would behave in a causal-modeling semantics. |
URI: | https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/553000 | ISSN: | 00397857 | DOI: | 10.1007/s11229-020-02966-9 |
Appears in Collections: | 哲學系 |
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