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  4. The impact on food security and future adaptation under climate variation: a case study of Taiwan’s agriculture and fisheries
 
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The impact on food security and future adaptation under climate variation: a case study of Taiwan’s agriculture and fisheries

Journal
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change
Journal Volume
23
Journal Issue
3
Pages
311-347
Date Issued
2018
Author(s)
Ho, C.-H.
HUU-SHENG LUR  
Yao, M.-H.
Liao, F.-C.
Lin, Y.-T.
Yagi, N.
Lu, H.-J.
DOI
10.1007/s11027-017-9742-3
URI
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85017164941&doi=10.1007%2fs11027-017-9742-3&partnerID=40&md5=b3d69731249cf13a7f943ed1f7df8cec
https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/406974
Abstract
According to Food and Agriculture Organization and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports, climate change will lead to a severe food-supply problem. In the future, food production will continually decrease because of aggravated effects of climate change, causing food production to continually decrease. Food production will be unable to satisfy the demand of the global population, leading to a food-security crisis. As the world population continues to increase, the shortage of food will become increasingly severe, particularly for those located in “climate impact hotspots” of tropical, subtropical, small-island countries, and countries that are dependent on imports to meet domestic demand such as Taiwan. Numerous Taiwanese studies have suggested that agricultural and fishery productivity has declined because of climate variation, which may cause changes and instability in food quantity and quality, and increase deficiency and uncertainty in the food supply. Therefore, to discuss the risks posed by climate change to the stability of food supply and demand, this paper, taking Taiwan as a case, explored the impact of climate variation on food security and future adaptation strategies. TaiCCAT’s supportive system for decision-making (TSSDA) was adopted here to assess and analyze the current situations of agricultural and fisheries production and supply, as well as future food supply risks, in addition to evaluating the deficiencies in the existing climate adaptation strategies in order to plan and revise feasible future adaptation alternatives. Based on the rule of risk management, the adaptation strategies recommended in this study were differentiated into two categories: proactive adaptation and planned adaptation. Proactive adaptation is emphasized to counter the uncertainty of food production, which increases the difficulty of production and necessity to import food. Conversely, planned adaptation can be used to manage the uncertainty of food supply to implement adjustments in production and marketing, as well as to mitigate the impact of climate variation. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht.
SDGs

[SDGs]SDG2

[SDGs]SDG13

Other Subjects
adaptive management; climate change; decision making; demand analysis; ecosystem resilience; environmental planning; environmental risk; fishery; food production; food security; food supply; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; risk assessment; small island state; strategic approach; Taiwan
Type
journal article

臺大位居世界頂尖大學之列,為永久珍藏及向國際展現本校豐碩的研究成果及學術能量,圖書館整合機構典藏(NTUR)與學術庫(AH)不同功能平台,成為臺大學術典藏NTU scholars。期能整合研究能量、促進交流合作、保存學術產出、推廣研究成果。

To permanently archive and promote researcher profiles and scholarly works, Library integrates the services of “NTU Repository” with “Academic Hub” to form NTU Scholars.

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開放取用是從使用者角度提升資訊取用性的社會運動,應用在學術研究上是透過將研究著作公開供使用者自由取閱,以促進學術傳播及因應期刊訂購費用逐年攀升。同時可加速研究發展、提升研究影響力,NTU Scholars即為本校的開放取用典藏(OA Archive)平台。(點選深入了解OA)

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