Information content of options trading volume for future volatility: Evidence from the Taiwan options market
Journal
Journal of Banking and Finance
Journal Volume
34
Journal Issue
1
Pages
174-183
Date Issued
2010
Author(s)
Abstract
This study follows the approach of Ni et al. [Ni, S.X., Pan, J., Poteshman, A.M., 2008. Volatility information trading in the option market. Journal of Finance 63, 1059-1091] - based upon the vega-weighted net demand for volatility - to determine whether volatility information exists within the Taiwan options market. Our empirical results show that foreign institutional investors possess the strongest and most direct volatility information, which is realized by the delta-neutral options/futures trades. In addition, a few individual investors (less than 1% of individuals' trades) might be informed and realize their volatility information using the strangle strategy. Surprisingly, we find no evidence to support the predictive ability of the volatility demand from straddle trades, despite the widespread acknowledgement that such trades are sensitive to volatility. ? 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Subjects
Emerging markets
Foreign investors
Option volume
Volatility
SDGs
Type
journal article