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  1. NTU Scholars
  2. 公共衛生學院
  3. 流行病學與預防醫學研究所
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/629376
Title: Forecast of a future leveling of the incidence trends of female breast cancer in Taiwan: an age-period-cohort analysis
Authors: Chen, Yi-Chu
Su, Shih-Yung
Jhuang, Jing-Rong
CHUN-JU CHIANG 
Yang, Ya-Wen
Wu, Chao-Chun
Lin, Li-Ju
WEN-CHUNG LEE 
Keywords: RISK; BURDEN; EPIDEMIOLOGY; PROJECTIONS; COUNTRIES; OBESITY; MODELS; WOMEN
Issue Date: 21-Jul-2022
Publisher: NATURE PORTFOLIO
Journal Volume: 12
Journal Issue: 1
Source: Scientific Reports
Abstract: 
Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women in Taiwan. The age-standardized incidence rate has doubled in just 20 years, causing considerable concern to health professionals and the general public. This study used an ensemble of age-period-cohort models to estimate breast cancer incidence trends in Taiwan from 1997 to 2016 and project trends up to 2035. The (truncated) world standard population (World Health Organization 2000) proportions (age groups: 25-29, 30-34, …, 80-84, and older than 85 years) were used to calculate age-standardized incidence rates. The age-standardized incidence rate from 1997 (60.33/100,000 population) to 2016 (128.20/100,000 population) increased rapidly. The projection is that the increase in the age-standardized incidence will subsequently slow and exhibit a plateau in 2031 (151.32/100,000 population). From 2026 to 2035, the age-specific incidence rates for women older than 55 years old (postmenopausal breast cancer) are projected to increase with larger percentage increments for older women. A future leveling of female breast cancer incidence trends in Taiwan is anticipated. The majority of the patients with breast cancer in the future will be women aged 55 years and older. Education on lifestyle recommendations and mammography screening is required to reduce the burden of breast cancer. The results should have implications for other countries which are also confronted with the same public health problem of rapidly increasing breast cancer incidences.
URI: https://scholars.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/629376
ISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-16056-y
Appears in Collections:流行病學與預防醫學研究所

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臺大位居世界頂尖大學之列,為永久珍藏及向國際展現本校豐碩的研究成果及學術能量,圖書館整合機構典藏(NTUR)與學術庫(AH)不同功能平台,成為臺大學術典藏NTU scholars。期能整合研究能量、促進交流合作、保存學術產出、推廣研究成果。

To permanently archive and promote researcher profiles and scholarly works, Library integrates the services of “NTU Repository” with “Academic Hub” to form NTU Scholars.

總館學科館員 (Main Library)
醫學圖書館學科館員 (Medical Library)
社會科學院辜振甫紀念圖書館學科館員 (Social Sciences Library)

開放取用是從使用者角度提升資訊取用性的社會運動,應用在學術研究上是透過將研究著作公開供使用者自由取閱,以促進學術傳播及因應期刊訂購費用逐年攀升。同時可加速研究發展、提升研究影響力,NTU Scholars即為本校的開放取用典藏(OA Archive)平台。(點選深入了解OA)

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